2026 Senate — Competitive Races
Snapshot: 2026-11-02 (election eve; polls through Nov 2). Election: Tue Nov 3. Earlier versions: Oct 24, 28, 30.
Archived 2026-11-07. This page is an election-eve snapshot and will not be updated further. The closing update below gives the results as of Nov 7; the full results are in the sources named there.
Closing update (2026-11-07): Democrats won the Senate, 54 to 44, with two races uncalled
- Count: Democrats 54, Republicans 44, 2 uncalled (AP via a Yahoo live blog, Nov 7; NBC’s tracker agrees on 54-44 and Democratic control).
- Flips: Democrats flipped seven Republican seats: KS, TX, IA, SC, OH, ME, NC. Republicans flipped none (CNBC).
- Maine: called. Troy Jackson (D) beat Susan Collins; AP called it at 1:02 a.m. ET Nov 4 and Collins conceded.
- Mississippi: uncalled. Scott Colom (D) leads Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) by 2,574 votes, 49.1% to 48.8%, with 97% counted. About 3,139 mail ballots were outstanding; they count if postmarked by Election Day and received by Nov 10. Affidavit ballots are still under review. The Nov 4 margin was 43 votes, so it has widened. Mississippi law provides no automatic or candidate-requested recount; the only route is a court challenge, and I found no report of one being filed. Hyde-Smith’s campaign: “We are not backing down.”
- Alaska: uncalled. Mary Peltola (D) leads Dan Sullivan (R) by 637 votes with 74% counted (the AP count had not updated since Wednesday). If no one reaches 50%, ranked-choice tabulation starts Nov 18.
- Versus the forecasts: Silver Bulletin gave Democrats an 80.1% chance of the Senate on Nov 1; Decision Desk HQ projected 52 seats. The result, 54 so far, beat both. See 2026 Midterms — Realistic Forecasts & Nate Silver.
Sources: search summaries and page fetches by Claude on 2026-11-07 (AP counts via a Yahoo live blog and NBC/CBS/CNBC trackers; no AP page opened). Numbers move daily, so check AP for the latest.
Here’s why this matters
The Senate confirms judges and cabinet officers, and every bill has to get through it.
- Control is close. Republicans hold 53 seats. Democrats need a net gain of 4 for 51; at 50–50, VP Vance breaks ties and Republicans keep control.
- The close races are almost all in red states: KS, IA, SC, NE, TX, ME, AK, OH. Michigan is the only Democratic-held toss-up.
- It could come down to a small polling miss. The top 9 races are within about 4 points, and polling errors tend to move them all the same way (see 2026 Midterms — Realistic Forecasts & Nate Silver).
- The answer may take weeks. Alaska’s ranked-choice count takes about two weeks, and DOJ has sued to block certification there if Sullivan loses (see 2026 Election Watch — How the Vote Is Run and Counted). In Nebraska, independent Dan Osborn says he won’t caucus with either party.
Bottom line
- Now: 53 R – 47 D (45 D + 2 I who caucus D)
- Dems need net +4 for 51. At 50–50 VP Vance breaks ties → R control.
- Forecasts: Silver Bulletin D 77.7% (~Oct 29, secondhand; Silver said “79” on Oct 30 and that an Alaska revision might take him to 77–78; Nov 2 page says only “new highs in FLIPR,” no number) · PollCheck D 68% · DDHQ D 57% (Oct 26; no Nov 2 odds visible) · VoteHub D 60% (Oct 23, not refreshed) · Kalshi D 74% (Nov 2)
- Generic ballot: D+8.4 (PollCheck “final pre-election” average, polls through Nov 2); D+8.7 on Oct 27
- Wildcard: Nebraska’s Dan Osborn (I) says he won’t caucus with either party
Election night update (2026-11-03, ~8:15 PM PT) — PROVISIONAL
Source: search snippets of live trackers (NPR, NBC, ABC, CNN, Fox 13, WaPo via search summary). No page opened; partial counts; timestamps in snippets are inconsistent. Verify against AP before relying on any figure. A second search for ME/MI returned only pre-election material.
| Race | Result so far | vs. our outlook |
|---|---|---|
| TX | Talarico (D) called over Paxton (R) by AP. At 57% counted: Talarico 58%, Paxton 40% | Silver 74% D, DDHQ 57%. The call fits, but the margin is far past the polls (D+2.8 avg). Early counts can lean urban, so the final margin may narrow. First Dem statewide win in TX since 1988 or 1994 (sources differ) |
| OH | Brown (D) projected over Husted (R) by NBC. Brown 48.6, Husted 46.5 at ~87% in | Silver 74% D, PollCheck D+2.8. In line |
| NC | Cooper (D) over Whatley (R), flip, AP call | Silver 95%. In line |
| NH | Pappas (D) over Sununu (R) | Held, in line |
| GA | Ossoff (D) won reelection. A snippet said 64%, which looks too high | Held. Treat the share as unverified |
| FL | Moody (R) held, 51–48 with 96% in | Held by only 3 points. Closer than “safe R” |
| ME | Conflicting. NBC: Collins 50.3–49.7 at 39% in. Later ABC table: Jackson 50.3–49.7 at 86% in | Coin flip. Not called |
| MI | Uncalled at ~39% in. Oakland County only: El-Sayed 55–43 at 63% in (county, not statewide) | Not called |
| IA, KS, AK, NE, SC | No results found | n/a |
- Seat math: Dems need a net +4. Flips so far: NC, TX, OH (3). The Washington Post calls TX one of the four seats Democrats needed. Remaining paths: ME, MI (D-held, must hold), IA, AK, KS, NE, SC.
- Calls that were slow or slower: none found.
- No sign yet of: certification disputes or DOJ action tonight (not specifically searched after the AK dismissal).
Election night update 2 (2026-11-03, ~9 PM PT) — PROVISIONAL
Source: search snippets (NBC Senate results page, Yahoo live blog, WaPo). No page opened. NBC’s own counts are internally inconsistent (ME shown at both ~68% and 60% reporting). Verify with AP.
- Control: NBC’s page headline reads “Democrats Win Majority”; Yahoo says Democrats secured at least a net +4. The seat counts conflict: NBC snippet says 51 D with “six flips” (that would be 53), nine races uncalled. Treat “Democrats won the Senate” as reported, the exact count as unknown.
- IA: Turek (D) 50.7 / Hinson (R) 46.2 at 93.4% in, marked a Democratic flip, Ernst’s open seat, the first D Senate win in Iowa since 2008. Our outlook: pure coin flip (D+0.3). Surprise: a 4.5-point margin.
- ME: Jackson (D) 51.8 / Collins (R) 48.2 at ~68% in, not called. Earlier snapshots showed it flipping back and forth.
- Candidate to watch, added by Fred: Susan Collins (R, ME). Reported conceded to Troy Jackson (D) just after midnight ET Wed Nov 4 (Jackson’s campaign said she called him; CNN first reported it, per Press Herald and Yahoo). Earlier snapshot: Jackson +1 just before midnight ET with a little over half in (The Intercept). No official call, final margin or certified result found; Maine count may still be unfinished. Jackson replaced Graham Platner as nominee in July. Our outlook was ME D+2.4 to D+2.5 and Silver 71% D; Collins had beaten polls before (2020), so this is a notable Collins loss, five terms. Sources: Press Herald, Yahoo/CNN, The Intercept. Search snippets only; not opened. Supersedes the earlier “ME not called” row.
- MI: El-Sayed (D) 49.5 / Rogers (R) 48.5 at ~44% in, not called. Close, as expected.
- AK: 0% counted; ranked-choice count takes about two weeks.
- KS, NE, SC: no results found.
- Earlier calls (above) stand: NC, TX, OH, NH, GA, FL.
Wednesday update (2026-11-04, morning): provisional, superseded by the closing update above
Source: search snippets (NBC, CBS, Forbes, CNBC, Axios). No page opened. Sources conflict on the tally; verify against AP.
- Control: CBS, NBC, Forbes, Axios say Democrats won the Senate (CBS projected shortly after 11:30 PM; Forbes says AP called it late Tuesday). Reported flips: IA, KS, OH, ME, NC, SC, TX (seven). Tally reported as 54 D, with two races uncalled (NBC), Forbes names MS and AK as the two still open. One AP-based page says 54-44. Note: KS, SC and a competitive MS were far past our outlook; KS and SC now confirmed below.
- ME: Jackson (D) projected by AP over Collins; Collins conceded. Supersedes the “no official call” caveat above.
- MI: El-Sayed (D) projected by AP over Rogers.
- AK: uncalled. Peltola 48.2 / Sullivan 47.9 at 74.3% (NBC); ranked-choice count may take about two weeks.
- KS: Hamilton (D) called over Marshall (R) (AP and NBC; WaPo, NPR). NBC: 50.9 / 46.1, independent Graham 3.0, 98.5% in. First Kansas Democrat in the Senate since 1932 (WaPo/NPR say “nearly a century”). Our outlook: toss-up.
- SC: Andrews (D) called over Darline Graham (R) (NBC, CBS, WaPo, Time, NewsNation). DDHQ: 51.5 / 47.0; NBC: 51.1 / 46.7. Snippets say Graham was appointed after Lindsey Graham died in July (not previously in our files; verify). Our outlook: Tilt R (R+1.0).
- NE: Ricketts (R) held over Osborn (I); AP call 3:27 AM ET. WOWT: 50.2 / 43.9, unofficial. Osborn lost by ~6 here; our outlook was Tilt R.
- MS: uncalled, razor-thin. Colom (D) leads Hyde-Smith (R) 462,821 to 462,778 (43 votes, 48.9 each) at 95.6% in as of 6 AM Wed; Pinkins (I) 2.1%. NBC: about 44,000 still out, Hyde-Smith needs 49% of them. Hinds County paused its count overnight. Would be an 8th flip. A margin this small is inside AP’s 0.5-pt no-call zone and likely a recount (see
race-calls.md). Not on our pre-election list at all. - Count: with KS and SC confirmed, the seven flips (IA, KS, OH, ME, NC, SC, TX) plus MI hold stand. MS and AK still open.
- Checked 2026-11-04 with per-race searches; headlines and AP-attributed calls, no page opened. Replaces the “Not confirmed” note.
Snapshot history
Key numbers each update — so we can see how they track.
| Date | Silver Bulletin Senate D odds | Proj. seats | Generic ballot | Closest 3 | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | 76% | ~52 D | D+8.7 | KS, IA, SC | Initial snapshot |
| 2026-10-28 | “holding steady” (no new % found; last 76.4%, Oct 23) | ~52 D (Oct 23) | not found | n/c | Silver page updated Oct 28 shows poll leads: TX D+2.5 (was 2.4), OH D+3.0 (was 3.7), AK D+3.6 (was 3.5), ME D+2.4 (was 2.8). All “within a normal polling error.” Partial refresh; the race table above is not re-ranked. |
| 2026-10-30 | “clearly favored” (no % in text; ~76% last confirmed Oct 23) | DDHQ 51 D (Oct 26) | not found | n/c | DDHQ Senate 57% (Oct 26, unchanged). Silver page: Montana Alme (R) 93%. No new state poll averages found; table not re-ranked. Final refresh before Nov 3. |
| 2026-11-02 | 77.7% (~Oct 29, via Newsweek/IBTimes); Silver said “79” Oct 30; Nov 2 page: “new highs in FLIPR,” no number | PollCheck 68% D; DDHQ 51 D (Oct 26) | D+8.4 (PollCheck) | IA, SC, NE | Election-eve refresh. Re-ranked by PollCheck Nov 2 averages (IA D+0.3, SC R+1.0, NE R+1.8, AK D+2.2, ME D+2.5, KS/OH/TX D+2.8, MI D+4.2). Inside Elections (~Oct 29) moved OH, TX to Tilt D; IA, KS to Toss-up; SC, NE to Tilt R; GA Likely D. Kalshi Senate D 74%. Changes since Oct 30: Silver and DDHQ Nov 2 topline % not found; Cook/Sabato final moves not found. |
| 2026-11-03 (am) | no new topline found (Silver, DDHQ not refreshed) | CBS House tracker 229 D (215–237); Senate not projected | not refreshed | n/c (IA, SC, NE) | Election Day morning sweep, news only; no polls or odds changed. ME: CBS lists Collins vs Troy Jackson, which resolves the Oct 31 “unverified” Platner-withdrew item. MI: Stevens’ Rogers endorsement still drawing backlash; Trump attacked El-Sayed on Truth Social; MI may not be called until Wed. TX: Paxton says it will “come down to the wire.” AK: ranked-choice count (~2 weeks); DOJ appeal pending. Fox calls the Senate a toss-up; tracker keeps D favored. Turnout: 54–59M early ballots (sources differ); about a third of MI’s registered voters had voted by 7 a.m. |
| 2026-11-03 (night) | not refreshed | 3 D flips called or projected (NC, TX, OH) | not refreshed | ME, MI uncalled | Election night partial returns from search snippets. TX Talarico called, 58–40 at 57%; OH Brown projected; ME conflicting (Collins 50.3 at 39% vs Jackson 50.3 at 86%). See the section above. |
| 2026-11-03 (9 PM PT) | not refreshed | NBC and Yahoo report Democrats won Senate control (count conflicts: 51 D, “six flips”) | not refreshed | ME, MI, AK uncalled | IA flipped D (Turek 50.7–46.2 at 93%), well past the D+0.3 average. ME Jackson 51.8 at ~68%. MI El-Sayed 49.5–48.5 at ~44%. See “Election night update 2”. |
Realistic read
Range 49–54 D, most likely 51–52. Midterm polls have been accurate lately (2018/2022 error < 1 pt), but a 2–3 pt correlated R-ward miss → ~48–49 D. Discount polls most in AK, SC, NE, ME (history of misses / thin polling). Silver race odds (~Oct 6, older): NC 95% D · TX 74% · OH 74% · ME 71% · AK 65% · KS 51% R; Oct 23: OH Brown 73.9%. Newsweek (~Oct 29): TX, OH, AK, ME “all just a normal-sized polling error away from flipping.” PollCheck’s own Nov 2 view: D 68% / R 29% / neither 3% for the Senate, 80% range 47–56 D seats. Details: 2026 Midterms — Realistic Forecasts & Nate Silver.
Ranked — closest first
Ranked by polling-average margin (Silver Bulletin where available, else 270toWin). Poll sources: SB = Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver) · RCP = RealClearPolling · 270 = 270toWin · DDHQ = Decision Desk HQ. Ranks 1–9 are all within ~4 pts — reorder freely as polls move.
Likely/Solid RLean RToss-upLean DLikely/Solid D
| # | State | Race (D vs R; * = incumbent) | Held | Poll avg | Cook / Sabato / Inside | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iowa (open, Ernst retiring) | Josh Turek vs Ashley Hinson | R | D+0.3 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+0.7 (FPO, undated); SB D+1.2 (Oct 24) | Toss / Toss / Toss | Pure coin flip. Inside moved Tilt R → Toss-up (~Oct 29) |
| 2 | South Carolina | Annie Andrews vs Darline Graham* | R | R+1.0 (PollCheck, Nov 2); tied 45.8–45.8 (FPO, undated) | Lean R / Likely R / Tilt R | Lindsey Graham died Jul 11; his sister Darline appointed, then won nomination. Inside moved Lean R → Tilt R; Newsweek mentions a new tied poll. Thin polling; SC polls have flattered Dems before |
| 3 | Nebraska | Dan Osborn (I) vs Pete Ricketts* | R | R+1.8 (PollCheck, Nov 2); R+1.9 (FPO) | Likely R / Lean R / Tilt R | No D nominee. Osborn win scrambles majority math. Inside moved Lean R → Tilt R |
| 4 | Alaska | Mary Peltola vs Dan Sullivan* | R | D+2.2 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+2.3 (FPO); SB D+3.6 (Oct 28) | Toss / Lean D / Toss | Red-state flip; ranked-choice ballot |
| 5 | Maine | Troy Jackson vs Susan Collins* | R | D+2.5 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+4.7 (FPO); SB D+2.4 (Oct 28) | Toss / Toss / Toss | Core D flip target |
| 6 | Kansas | Adam Hamilton vs Roger Marshall* | R | D+2.8 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+4.4 (FPO); SB D+1.1 (Oct 24) | Toss / Toss / Toss | Deep-red seat at coin-flip = wave signal. Dems haven’t won KS Senate since 1932. Inside moved Tilt R → Toss-up; Newsweek: Hamilton leads in most recent polls |
| 7 | Ohio (special) | Sherrod Brown vs Jon Husted* (appointed) | R | D+2.8 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+2.9 (FPO); SB D+3.0 (Oct 28) | Toss / Toss / Tilt D | Brown comeback; core flip target. Inside moved Toss-up → Tilt D |
| 8 | Texas (open) | James Talarico vs Ken Paxton | R | D+2.8 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+3.7 (FPO); SB D+2.5 (Oct 28) | Toss / Toss / Tilt D | Paxton beat Cornyn in runoff. No D Senate win in TX since Bentsen. Inside moved Toss-up → Tilt D. Polymarket ~70% Talarico (Oct 30, Daily Beast) |
| 9 | Michigan (open, Peters retiring) | Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers | D | D+4.2 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+5.4 (FPO); SB D+3.0 (Oct 28) | Toss / Lean D / Tilt D | Only D-held Toss-up — R’s best pickup shot |
| 10 | Minnesota (open, Smith retiring) | Peggy Flanagan vs Michele Tafoya | D | D+6.3 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+6.2 (FPO) | Lean D ×3 | D hold R’s need to make close |
| 11 | New Hampshire (open, Shaheen retiring) | Chris Pappas vs John E. Sununu | D | D+7.4 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+8.8 (FPO) | Lean D / Likely D / Tilt D | R’s star recruit, trailing |
| 12 | Florida (special) | Angie Nixon vs Ashley Moody* (appointed) | R | R+6.2 (PollCheck, Nov 2); R+6.1 (FPO) | Solid R / Safe R / Likely R | D reach |
| 13 | Georgia | Jon Ossoff* vs Mike Collins | D | D+9.4 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+9.6 (FPO) | Likely D ×3 | Most exposed D incumbent — looking safe |
| 14 | North Carolina (open, Tillis retiring) | Roy Cooper vs Michael Whatley | R | D+10.4 (PollCheck, Nov 2); D+11.5 (FPO) | Likely D / Lean D / Lean D | Likeliest D flip |
| 15 | Montana (open, Daines retiring) | Bodnar (I) / Bankhead (D) vs Kurt Alme | R | R+18 over Bodnar | Solid R ×3 | 3-way with independent |
| 16 | Mississippi | Scott Colom vs Cindy Hyde-Smith* | R | n/a | Likely R ×3 | Long shot. Cook and Inside both moved to Likely R |
Long shots: Louisiana (Davis vs Letlow — Cassidy lost renomination; Inside moved to Likely R ~Oct 29; PollCheck’s Nov 2 average oddly shows D+0.5, labeled toss-up, likely thin polling), Arkansas (Shoffner vs Cotton*), Idaho (Achilles (I) vs Risch*), New Mexico (Luján* vs Marker).
Safe: R — AL, KY, OK, SD, TN, WV, WY · D — CO, DE, IL, MA, NJ, OR, RI, VA
Issues by race
Cross-cutting themes: Iran war + gas prices · tariffs (farm states, autos) · health-care costs / Medicaid & rural-hospital cuts (OBBB) · electricity bills & data centers · proximity to Trump · incumbent scandal.
| State | Issues | Oct developments | On the ballot |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | Medical debt (Marshall sued his patients); cost of living; Trump ties; church-camp abuse ad vs Hamilton | Trump rally for Marshall ~Oct 18; $50M+ race | Citizens-only voting amendment |
| Iowa | Tariffs on farm inputs; OBBB rural-hospital cuts; Iran war/gas; Turek’s missed votes (“two Tureks”) | Marist: Turek +3 (was +8 in Sep) | — |
| South Carolina | Qualifications (Darline Graham never held office); Iran war; economy; “socialist” attacks | Oct 11 debate = qualification fight | — |
| Nebraska | Tariffs & beef-import waiver; cost of living; Iran war; Osborn’s independence vs billionaire money | Little Oct reporting found | Trans sports measure |
| Texas | Paxton corruption (impeachment, “Most Corrupt” ads); Paxton dodging debates; Talarico’s faith; affordability; immigration | Paxton declined ≥4 debates; $500M+ ad spend; early vote began Oct 19 | — |
| Maine | Collins’s closeness to Trump admin; costs & debt; data centers; Collins avoiding town halls | Oct 15: Jackson told Collins to “shut up” | — |
| Michigan | Tariffs (Canada, autos); Iran war; gas; Social Security; El-Sayed outspent ~2:1 | Marist: El-Sayed 50–48 | Proposal 2 (utility/contractor donation ban) · Proposal 1 (constitutional convention) |
| Alaska | Energy costs; Iran war/Hormuz; Social Security & health care; fisheries; mutual misconduct charges | Oct 15 debate nearly lost mics; Sabato → Lean D; DOJ sued Oct 22 to block certification if Sullivan loses (see Election Watch) | Measure 2 (repeal ranked-choice) · Measure 3 (citizens-only voting) |
| Ohio | Husted & FirstEnergy bribery scandal; electric bills & data centers; gas; Brown as “creature of Washington” | $400M+ in ads; $9M FirstEnergy campaign vs Husted | Issue 3 (photo ID) |
| Minnesota | Walz-era fraud scandals; taxes; immigration; tariffs/Iran war (Tafoya tied to Trump) | Strib/KARE: Flanagan 47–43 | — |
| New Hampshire | Referendum on Trump; costs; health care; border (Pappas tied to Biden) | Sununu kept Trump at arm’s length; AARP: Pappas 51–44 | — |
| Florida | Hope Florida scandal ($10M Medicaid settlement diverted); Moody won’t debate; housing & property tax | Kalshi ~90% Moody | — |
| Georgia | Immigration (Laken Riley); Iran war; Collins ethics probe; Epstein; data centers | Ossoff: won’t run in 2028 | — |
| North Carolina | Helene recovery (Whatley was “recovery czar”); Duke Energy rates; Medicaid/ACA cuts; crime & ICE | No debate confirmed | Photo-ID amendment · income-tax cap · property-tax limit |
Majority math, quick
Dems’ cleanest path to 51: hold MI/MN/NH/GA + flip NC + three of {ME, OH, AK, TX, IA, KS}. Each flip beyond that is cushion.
Caveats
- Cook/Sabato/Inside ratings: Oct 20/14/15 via Wikipedia’s table, updated with Inside Elections’ Oct ~29 moves and Cook’s ratings as reported by Newsweek (~Oct 29). Sabato: last change I could confirm is Oct 6 (AK → Lean D, SC → Likely R); 270toWin lists an Oct 27 Sabato update but not what changed, so the Sabato column may be stale. Cook/Sabato sites not checked directly.
- Silver Bulletin couldn’t be fetched with numbers (Nov 2 page is paywalled past the intro); SB state averages are the Oct 28 figures. Nov 2 averages come from PollCheck (“final pre-election” page) and FiftyPlusOne (undated). They differ noticeably (ME D+2.5 vs D+4.7, KS D+2.8 vs D+4.4), so treat ranks 1–9 as a tie.
- 270toWin averages (Oct 24) rest on 2–6 polls each; SC & MT on 2. Rows 10–16 below still show them unless noted.
- Issues from search-result summaries of local press/debate coverage (sources below); NE and NC issues partly pre-October. Not refreshed Nov 2.
Sources
- Wikipedia — 2026 US Senate elections (ratings, candidates; Oct 12–23)
- Newsweek — What polls show 10 days out (SB, RCP, VoteHub, DDHQ; Oct 23)
- 270toWin Senate polls (per-state pages; fetched Oct 24)
- Federal News Network — prediction market odds (Oct 20)
- Live 5 News — Darline Graham sworn in (Jul 14)
- Newsweek — SC Senate debate; Political Wire — Graham barely leads
- Newsweek — Kansas Hamilton vs Marshall polls
- Nov 2 refresh: Covers — prediction-market tracker (Kalshi 74%; Nov 2) · PollCheck — Senate averages (“final pre-election”; polls through Nov 2) · FiftyPlusOne averages (undated) · Newsweek — Inside Elections moves, Silver 77.7% (~Oct 29; date inferred) · Daily Beast — Silver “79” (Oct 30) · Daily Beast — Kalshi/Polymarket (Oct 30) · 270toWin — DDHQ Senate (Nov 2, no odds shown) · 270toWin — Sabato
- Political Wire — Nebraska: Osborn +1 (Oct 6), Ricketts +3 (Oct 12)
- Issues/debates: KCUR KS · Iowa debate · SC debate · NE ag debate · Axios TX · ME debate · MI debate · ADN AK · OH ads · MN Reformer · NH debate · WUSF FL · GPB GA · Cardinal & Pine NC